Minnesota's
Energy Future?ฉDell Erickson
Minneapolis, MN
References
|
Part |
MWord.doc Page Number |
| Overview and Part I | 285 |
| References: Part II | 289 |
| References: Part III | 302 |
| References: Part IV | 312 |
| References: Part V | 314 |
References: Overview and
Part I
1. Hall, Charles A.S., Cleveland, Cutler J., and Kaufmann, Robert. 1992. Oil And Gas Availability: A History of Federal Government Overestimation in Energy And Resource Quality. Colorado University Press.
2. Elite vs. Public Opinion: An Examination of Divergent Views on Immigration, Roy Beck and Steven A. Camarota, Center for Immigration Studies. December 2002. See < http://www.cis.org/articles/2002/back1402.html >.
3. The Utility Executives Field Guide to the Future, Geology, Geo-Politics and Global Warming: Key Issues 2000-2010. Dwight L. Allen Jr., Arthur A. Grubb, and Rick Faery; Deloitte Research, Deloitte Consulting (Global) LP and Deloitte & Touche. 2001. See at < http://www.ebusinessforum.gr/links/reports/deloitte/drivers/geology.pdf >.
4. Final Document: Energy flows in Ecology and Economy, Advances in Energy Studies, International Workshop. Porto Venere, Italy, May 26-30, 1998. See at < http://www.unicamp.br/fea/ortega/curso/final-PV.htm >.
5. 1997. World Book Encyclopedia. World Book, Inc., p253. See also entropy.
6. Meadows, Donella H., Meadows, Dennis L., and Randers, J๘rgen. 1972. The Limits to Growth: A Report for the Club of Rome's Project on the Predicament of Mankind. Universe Books and Potomac Associates, New York. p21.
7. Meadows, 1972, p23.
8. Meadows, 1972, p156.
9. Meadows, 1972, Table 4, p58. See Table 4 at < http://dieoff.com/limitstogrowth.htm >.
10. Meadows, 1972.
11. The Beyond the Limits program uses the World3 computer model of the book Beyond the Limits. The Earth Systems Project: Making Global Models Accessible. Kenneth L. Simons and Peter J. Poole. Revised May 31, 2001. See < http://www.sun.rhbnc.ac.uk/~uhss021/ESP/EarthSystemsProject.html >.
12. Hardin, Garrett. February 1999. The Ostrich Factor: Our Population Myopia, Oxford University Press.
13. Population Growth: The Neglected Dimension of Americas Persistent Energy/Environmental Problems, Leon Kolankiewicz, NumbersUSA Education and Research Foundation, November 2002. See at < http://www.numbersusa.com/about/bk_popgrowth.html > or at < http://www.mnforsustain.org/energy/.htm >.
14. For more further information on the subject of growth rates, see "Exponential Growth and The Rule of 70", at "Ecofuture", < http://www.ecofuture.org/pop/facts/exponential70.html > and The Pond Lilly Parable, Dell Erickson. 1999. See at < http://www.mnforsustain.org/erickson_d_pond_lilly_parable.htm >.
15. Commission on
Population Growth and the American Future. Population and the American
Future, 1972. Washington, D.C. U.S. Government Printing Office.) See final
recommendations at < http://www.mnforsustain.org/rockefeller_1974_recommendations.htm
>;
The Rockefeller Commission Report March 27, 1972: Thirty Years Later,
M. Boyd Wilcox, March 5, 2002. See at < http://www.mnforsustain.org/nopc_thirty_years_later.htm
>.
16. Mumford, Stephen D. 1996. The Life and Death of NSSM 200: How the Destruction of Political Will Doomed a U.S. Population Policy, Center for Research on Population and Security, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina. See at < http://www.population-security.org/index.html >.
17. Mexico to Abandon OPEC Deal? Stratfor.com Global Intelligence Update, Sept. 12, 2000.
18. Stratfor.com Global Intelligence Update, Sept. 12, 2000.
19. Washington Eyes Bangladesh Gas Reserves, Stratfor.com Global Intelligence Update, Sept. 14, 2000.
20. Census population projections are at < http://www.census.gov/population/www/projections/natsum.html > and at < http://www.mnforsustain.org/population.htm >.
21. The Demographic
Transition Revisited Lessons for Foreign Aid and U.S. Immigration Policy,
Virginia D. Abernethy. Carrying Capacity Network Focus Series. 1994. See at <
http://www.mnforsustain.org/abernathy_v_demographic_transition_revisited.htm
>.
Abernethy, Virginia D. 1993. Population Politics: The Choices That Shape
Our Future, Insight Books/Plenum Press, New York.
22. Census Release NP-T1, Jan. 13, 2000. See at < http://www.mnforsustain.org/united_states_population.htm >.
23. IDS: Why
Discriminate Against Jurisdictions?, M. Boyd Wilcox, August, 2001. See at
< http://www.mnforsustain.org/nopc_jurisdictions_and_sovereignty.htm >;
Population Growth Dilutes Our Nation's Democracy, M. Boyd Wilcox*
March, 1999. See at < http://www.mnforsustain.org/wilcox_m_boyd_nopc_growth_dilutes_democracy.htm
>.
24. The Tragedy of the Commons, Garrett Hardin. December 13, 1968. See at < http://www.mnforsustain.org/hardin_g_tragedy_of_the_commons.htm >.
25. Curtis Aljets, INS Midwest District Director, letter to Senator Rod Grams, April 27, 1999.
26. Good explanation of compounding growth using bacteria is available at Minneapolis based "World Population Balance. See at < http://www.worldpopulationbalance.org/pop/bacteria/index.html >.
27. Center for Immigration Studies, Washington, D.C. See at < www.cis.org >.
28. Counselor says economy benefits from immigration, Rob Hotakainen & David Peterson. October 4, 2001. (Minneapolis) Star Tribune. See at < http//www.startribune.com/stories/462/733222.html >.
29. U.S. Commission on
Immigration Reform, 1994. Barbara Jordan, Chair. See at < http://www.utexas.edu/lbj/uscir/exesum94.html
>.
Congressional immigration testimony is available at < http://www.mnforsustain.org/congressional_testimony.htm
>.
30. Bouvier, Leon F and Grant, Lindsey; 1994. How Many Americans. Sierra Club Books, San Francisco. Note Chapter 4: Alternative Demographic futures.
31. It should be noted that the University of Minnesota under President Mark Yudof, refused to implement the INS's foreign student tracking program. Moreover, the state of Minnesota although passing the accepting legislation, implemented a sharply scaled-down worker verification program, thus nullifying its potential.
32. Undocumented Workers Not Needed in Minnesota: A reply to the Humphrey Institute's HACER study promoting illegal immigration in Minnesota, with policy recommendations; Dell Erickson, November 30, 2000. See at < http://www.mnforsustain.org/erickson_undocumented_workers.htm >.
33. See:1990: < http://www.mnplan.state.mn.us/demography/demog_3a_97.html#90population
>;
1999: < http://www.mnplan.state.mn.us/demography/demog_3a_97.html#Population
1999 >;
2000: DP-1. Profile of
General Demographic Characteristics: 2000 Data Set: Census 2000 Summary File 1
(SF 1) 100-Percent Data Geographic Area: Minnesota; < http://factfinder.census.gov/servlet/QTTable?ds_name=DEC_2000_SF1_U&geo_id=04000US27&qr_name=DEC_2000_SF1_U_DP1
>.
34. 1997 Report to Congress, Executive Summary, U.S. Commission on Immigration Reform: 1990 - 1997. See < http://www.utexas.edu/lbj/uscir/ > and < http://www.mnforsustain.org/congressional_testimony.htm >.
35. WCCO radio interview,
March 22, 2001;
Leprosy on Rise in Us, Sharon Lerner, New York Times, February
20, 2003;
The Patient Predator: Tuberculosis, Kevin Patterson, Medical
Journal News, March 3, 2003;
Minnesota Sees Increase in Tuberculosis Cases, Associated Press
National News, March 25, 2002. Minnesota was among 20 states that saw an
increase in TB cases last year, a coalition of more than 80 national public
health organizations said. In more than 50 percent of the cases nationwide --
and 81 percent in Minnesota -- the infected persons were born outside the
United States. See at < http://www.thebody.com/cdc/news_updates_archive/mar25_02/minnesota_tb.html
>;
Minnesota TB Statistics Summary, Minnesota Department of Health.
See at < http://www.health.state.mn.us/divs/idepc/diseases/tb/stats.html >;
Quarterly Surveillance Report, Minnesota Department of Health,
Tuberculosis Prevention and Control Program. July - September, 2003. See at <
http://www.health.state.mn.us/divs/idepc/diseases/tb/JulySept03report.pdf >;
The Epidemiology of Tuberculosis Among Foreign-Born Persons in Minnesota,
1998-2002. Minnesota Health Department. See at < http://www.health.state.mn.us/divs/idepc/diseases/tb/foreignborn.pdf
>.
36. Kirk, Russell; 1994: America's British Culture, Transaction Publishers, New Brunswick, U.S.A.
37. Harrison, Lawrence E., 1997. The Pan-American Dream, Basic Books: HarperCollins Publishers.
38. Schlesinger, Arthur M., Jr., 1998. The Disuniting of America: Reflections on a Multicultural Society, Rv. Ed. W.W. Norton & Company, New York.
39. Hispanic Immigrants Dig Deep to Send Home Record Sums of Cash, Sandra Marquez, The Associated Press. January 2, 2003.
40. Legal Immigration:
Setting Priorities. 1995. See at < www.utexas.edu/lbj/uscir >. See the
Executive Summary at: < http://www.utexas.edu/lbj/uscir/exesum94.html >);
Importing Poverty: Immigration and the Growth of America's Poor Population
at < http://www.mnforsustain.org/cis_importing_poverty.htm >;
Immigration's Impacts on Minorities, University of California Davis.
See at < http://heather.cs.ucdavis.edu/pub/Immigration/EffOnMinorities/Index.html
>.
41. Immigration from
Mexico: Assessing the Impact on the United States, Steven A. Camarota,
Center for Immigration Studies. July 12, 2001. See at < http//www.cis.org/articles/2001/mexico/release.html
>;
The Net Costs of Immigration: The Facts, the Trends, and the Critics,
Dr. Donald Huddle, Carrying Capacity Network; with the 1996 and subsequent
revisions showing increasing costs;
The New Americans: Economic Demographic, and Fiscal Effects of
Immigration, National Academy of Science -RNC, 1997. Note Dr. George
Borjas's commentary;
Borjas George J., 1999. Heaven's Door: Immigration policy and the American
economy, Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ 08540;
Briggs Jr.; Vernon M., May, 2001. Immigration and American Unionism.
Cornell University Press, Ithaca, New York 14850;
The Minnesotans For Sustainability website has an United States immigration
section covering a variety of issues. See at < http://www.mnforsustain.org/immigration_main_page.htm
>.
42. Samuel Gompers, 1924 letter to Congress.
43. Immigration from Mexico: Assessing the Impact on the United States, Steven A. Camarota, Center for Immigration Studies. July 12, 2001. See at < http//www.cis.org/articles/2001/mexico/release.html >.
44. Undocumented
Workers Not Needed in Minnesota: A Reply to the Humphrey Institute's HACER
Study Promoting Illegal Immigration In Minnesota, With Policy
Recommendations, Dell Erickson
November 30, 2000. See at < http://www.mnforsustain.org/erickson_undocumented_workers.htm
>.
45. H-1b Foreign Workers: Better Controls Needed to Help Employers and Protect Workers, United States General Accounting Office. GAO/HEHS-00-157. September 2000. United States General Accounting Office, Washington, D.C. 20548-0001. See complete report at < www.gao.gov/archive/2000/he00157.pdf >.
46.
Immigration Benefit
Fraud: Focused Approach is Needed to Address Problems, Report to
Congressional Requesters, United States General Accounting Office GAO-02-66.
January 2002. p28. See report at <
www.gao.gov/new.items/d0266.pdf >;
See more regarding the H-1b program at the H-1b Hall of Shame at< http://www.zazona.com/ShameH1B/
> and Hire American
Citizens at < http://www.hireamericancitizens.org/ >. Note the section on
Arguments. It also appears that states may be in a better position to
implement the necessary reforms (while saving considerable taxpayer funds in
the process).
47. Social Security:
The Ponzi Path To Dystopia, David Simcox; NPG Forum Series. October 1998.
Negative Population Growth. See at < http://www.npg.org/projects/socialsecurity/socialsec_index.htm
>;
Social Security: The American Tragedy, Dell Erickson, January 1995;
Testimony of Dell H. Erickson Before the House Committee on Ways and Means
Concerning Proposals Guaranteed to Save Social Security, delivered at
Washington, D.C., June 10, 1999. See at < http://www.mnforsustain.org/social_security_testimony_erickson_dell_h.htm
>.
48. Issue Brief: The Mexican Matricula Consular Should Not Be Accepted for Official Purposes, Federation For American Immigration Reform. January 2003. See at < http://www.fairus.org/html/04193072.htm >.
49. Friends of Immigration
Law Enforcement. See at < http://fileus.com/index.html >;
For a letter filing a formal complaint against the Matricula Consuls, see <
http://www.mnforsustain.org/matricula_card_letter_legal_complaint_cair.htm >
and another letter outlining the possible liabilities of local officials and
firms who may use it, see < http://www.mnforsustain.org/matricula_card_letter_local_liability_cair.htm
>;
Currently, the local Matricula Office is located at: Wisconsin Office
Matricula Consul Office, Madison (HC) 141 North Hancock St., 53703. Rudolph
Caro Hecht, Honorary. In the summer of 2003, Minneapolis is scheduled to have
a Matricula Consul Office.
50. Visas for Mexican
Workers, New York Times, Editorial. August 22, 2000;
Meeting of Bush and
Mexico's Fox promises new era in nation's ties, Charles Oliver; Investors
Business Daily. February 15, 2001;
What Americans Should Know About Immigration and President Fox of Mexico,
Allan E. Wall, FrontPageMagazine.com. February 12, 2001. See at < http//frontpagemag.com/archives/miscellaneous/wall02-12-01.htm
>.
51. Mexicos Multiple Messages: Arrogant And Desperate, Joe Guzzardi. Joe Guzzardi Archive, Vdare.com, December 20, 2002. See at < http://www.vdare.com/guzzardi/consulate_offices.htm >.
52. Illegal Mexicans, Consular Offices, Multiplying, Joe Guzzardi. Vdare.com. August 14, 2002. See < http://www.vdare.com/guzzardi/multiplying.htm >.
53. GSA bars Mexican ID cards, Jerry Seper. The Washington Times, January 22, 2003. See at < http://www.washtimes.com/national/20030122-11837572.htm >.
54. See at < http://thomas.loc.gov/cgi-bin/query/z?c108:H.R.502: >.
55. Letter to the author from the Office of Rep. Jim Ramstad, March 14, 2003. U.S. Department of State: < http://contact-us.state.gov/ >. Your question has been received and has been given the following reference code: [ref#114538].
56. Latin American Newsletters, January 21, 2003. See at < http://www.latinnews.com/latinnewsdaily/singlestory.php3?reference=MX_21JAN_L_0012003&type= >.
57. Cantarell Oil Field, Mexico, Offshore Technology: Industry Reports. See at < http://www.offshore-technology.com/projects/cantarell/ >.
58. Latin American Newsletters, January 21, 2003. See at < http://www.latinnews.com/latinnewsdaily/singlestory.php3?reference=MX_21JAN_L_0012003&type= >.
59. Mexico's Petroleum Exports: Safe Collateral for a $50 Billion Loan? Richard C. Duncan, 1995. HubbertPeak.com. See <http://www.hubbertpeak.com/duncan/mexoil.htm >.
60. Mexico's Fiscal Deficit to Torpedo Fox's Financial Plans, Stratfor.com, March 12, 2001.
61. Mexican Presidents Touts Open Borders, Mary Jordan, The Washington Post. August 25, 2000.
62. The Energy Crisis: Is it real? National Coal Council Annual Spring Council Meeting, May 3, 2001. Presentation by Matthew R. Simmons. See at < http://www.simmonsco-intl.com/research/ >. Note the chart NPC Model for Gas-Fired Plants vs. Actual.
63. Investing In energy, an exercise not for the faint hearted, Matthew R. Simmons. Simmons Company International. See at < http//www.simmonscointl.com/research/docview.asp?viewnews=true&newstype=1&viewdoc=true&dv=true&doc=167 > and < http//www.simmonsco-intl.com/research/default.asp?viewnews=true&newstype=2&dc=161 >.
64. Running in Place: Immigration's impact on U.S. energy usage, Donald F. Anthrop, September 2002, Federation for American Immigration Reform. See at < http://www.mnforsustain.org/anthrop_immigration_and_the_energy_crisis_fair.htm >. Copies available at < www.fairus.org/html/publications.html >.
65. Americans' debt
soaring Highlights + 1st quarter 2001, Chicago Sun Times, June 18, 2001.
See at < http//www.suntimes.com/output/news/debt18.html >.
1. Energy crisis threatens a winter of discontent, Jeremy Cresswel. The Scotsman: Scotland's National Newspaper. November 21, 2000. See at < www.business.scotsman.com/cfm/home/headlines_specific.cfm?headlineid=4901&subset=archive >.
2. The Olduvai Gorge is located in the eastern Serengeti Plains, in Africas northern Tanzania. Its name is taken from the Maasai name for a local plant, Oldupai. The area is an approximately 300 foot deep by 30 miles long, steep sided valley (gorge) located in the nearly 4,100 mile long African Great Rift Valley beginning at the Dead Sea. Although currently a dry area, at the time the Olduvai Gorge was a verdant valley supporting a large variety of plants and animals. The area is famous for Drs. Louis Leakey and Mary Leakeys 1931 archaeological expeditions discovery of 3.7 million year old footprints (Australopithecus afarensis) and the 1958 discovery of the first early fossil hominids, 1.75 million year old Nutcracker Man (Australopithecus boisei) and Handy Man (Homo habilis). These are the earliest findings of humanity and thus the area is called the Cradle of Mankind. True Homo sapiens sapiens man appeared much later, approximately 50,000 years ago. Richard Duncans from the cradle to the cradle Earth to Earth, ashes to ashes symbolism is clear. A pessimist might say the title indicates societys return to a earlier hunter-gather and semi nomadic society. Today, erosion threatens to obliterate the remaining record of hominid prehistory. Rain is now washing fossil history into the river at a rate that archaeologists cannot keep pace. An archaeological rescue trip leaving September 2003 is at < http://www.earthwatch.org/expeditions/masao.html >.
3. The Peak of World
Production and the Road to the Olduvai Gorge, Richard C. Duncan, Pardee
Keynote Symposia, Geological Society of America, Summit 2000, Reno, Nevada.
November 13, 2000. See at < http://www.hubbertpeak.com/duncan/olduvai2000.htm
>;
World Energy
Production, Population Growth, and the Road to the Olduvai Gorge, Richard
C. Duncan. Institute on Energy and Man. November 13, 2000. See at < http://www.mnforsustain.org/duncan_r_olduvai_theory.htm
>;
Olduvai Cliff
Revisited: The Olduvai Cliff Event: ca. 2007, Richard C. Duncan. March 5,
2001. See at < http://www.mnforsustain.org/duncan_r_olduvai_cliff_revisited.htm
>;
The Olduvai Theory:
Sliding Towards a Post-Industrial Stone Age, Richard C. Duncan, Ph.D.,
Institute on Energy and Man, June 27, 1996. See at < http://dieoff.org/page125.htm
>.
4. Renewables
in Global Energy Supply: An IEA Fact Sheet,
International Energy Agency, November 2002. See at < www.iea.org/leaflet.pdf
>;
For world electricity
generation by nation by source see World Net Electricity Generation by
Type, 2000, Table 6.3. Department of Energy, See at < http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/iea/table63.html
>.
5. Jean Laherrere Email
posted to Energy Resources subscriber list March 27, 2001;
For more by Jean
Laherrere see at < http://hubbertpeak.com/laherrere/ >.
6. Deffeyes, Kenneth S., Hubbert's Peak: The Impending World Oil Shortage, Princeton University Press. October 1, 2001.
7. Ghawar Is Dying,
Chip Haynes. August 2001, The New Colonist.
See at < http://www.newcolonist.com/ghawar.html
>;
Goodbye,
Miss American Way, Chip Haynes,
March 2002. The New Colonist. See at <
http://www.newcolonist.com/oil_gone.html >.
8.Content-Type:
text/plain; charset=US-ASCIIContent-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit World
Oil Forecast #6, C๓ilํn J. Campbell;
Peak
Oil: A Turning for Mankind, Richard
C. Duncan. Hubbert Center Newsletter #
2001/2-1. April 2001. See at < http://hubbert.mines.edu/news/Campbell_01-2.pdf
>;
The Radio4All Network
has compiled a series on The End of the Age of Oil. See, Part 1 Michael C.
Ruppert on 911, Oil and War at < http://www.radio4all.net/proginfo.php?id=5573
>; Part 2 interview with Dr. C๓ilํn J. Campbell about peak production and
decline at < http://www.radio4all.net/proginfo.php?id=5620 >; Part 3
Interviews with Jeremy Rifkin and Dale Allen Pfeiffer on alternative energy at
< http://www.radio4all.net/proginfo.php?id=5663 >; and Part 4 interview with
Prof. Richard Heinberg on technological & cultural changes to come at <
http://www.radio4all.net/proginfo.php?id=6048 >.
9. The World Petroleum Life-Cycle. Richard C. Duncan and Walter Youngquist. From a paper presented at the Petroleum Technology Transfer Council workshop, OPEC Oil Pricing and Independent Oil Producers, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California. October 22, 1998. See at < http://dieoff.com/page133.htm >.
10. U.S. Geological Survey. See at < http://greatchange.org/moredinoblood.html >.
11. Awash in Oil:
There's plenty of cheap oil, says the U.S. Geological Survey, Eric Niiler;
Scientific American. September, 2000;
The End of Cheap Oil,
C๓ilํn J. Campbell, Scientific American. March, 1998.
12. The Futurist, L.F. (Buzz) Ivanhoe. January/February, 1997. See at < http://dieoff.com/page90.htm >.
13. IEA. See at < http://www.iea.org/g8/world/oilsup.htm
>. Note Figure #9;
Also see < http://hubbertpeak.com
> and < http://oilcrisis.org >;
Definitions see What
goes up must come down: when will it peak?, J. H. Laherrere. Draft of an
article for the Oil and Gas Journal. November 1998. See at < http://www.dieoff.org/page177.htm
>.
14. Peak Oil: an Outlook on Crude Oil Depletion C.J. Campbell. Revised February 2002. Mbendi.com World: Oil and Gas Industry. See at < http://www.mbendi.co.za/indy/oilg/p0070.htm >.
15. See daily production at
< http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/ipsr/contents.html >;
Current projections to
2025 are found at Annual Energy Outlook 2003. EIA, January 28, 2003.
DOE/EIA-0383(2003). See at < http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/plugs/plaeo03.html >.
16. UPI News article, London, Sept. 9, 2000).
17. Newsletter No 34, The Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas, ASPO, October 2003. < http://www.energyshortage.com/news/aspo/Newsletter034.pdf >.
18. OPEC chief warns of oil production 'crisis. The National Post (Canada), September 12, 2000.
19. C๓ilํn Campbell, Jean Laherrere, Brian Fleay, Roger Blanchard, Richard Duncan, Walter Youngquist, and Albert Bartlett. Comparative graphs of oil reserves and production, Hubbert is #1: < http://www.oilcrisis.com/curves.htm >. Note the sharp contrast between government and private forecasts.
20. Gever, J., Kaufman, R., Skole, D., & Vorosmarty, C. 1986. Beyond oil: The threat to food and fuel in the coming decades. University Press of Colorado. p121.
21. See the Association for the Study of Peak Oil & Gas (ASPO) and other researchers. See at < http://www.peakoil.net/ >.
22. Middle East Oil Resources: Project Evaluates Region's Ability to Meet Growing World Needs, The Center for Strategic & International Studies. March 17, 2003. See at < http://www.csis.org/press/pr03_18.htm >.
23. Annual Energy Outlook with Projections to 2020, Dept. of Energy/Energy Information Agency, Study #0383-98. December, 1997. See at < http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/FTPROOT/forecasting/038398.pdf >, page 221.
24. Current weekly oil and
natural gas production and other related statistical data is available at WTGR
Economics: See at < http://www.wtrg.com/ino/ >;
EIA/DOE links to daily
oil production: < http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/ipsr/t11a.txt >, < http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/ipsr/t11c.txt
>, < http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/ipsr/t11b.txt >.
25. Synopsis, Jay Hanson, Mar, 8, 2001. See < http://dieoff.com/synopsis.htm >.
26. Giant oil and gas
discoveries of the 1990s: A review, Henry S. Pettingill. 2000 AAPG
Annual Meeting: Marching into Global Markets -- A World of Resources. April 16
- 19, 2000, New Orleans, USA. Technical Program Sessions. See at < http://aapg.confex.com/aapg/no2000/techprogram/paper_2964.htm
>;
Oil discovery &
production plots by country, ASPO News (The Association for the Study of
Peak Oil & Gas), from 'The Essence of Oil and Gas Depletion' by C๓ilํn
Campbell. See at < http://www.asponews.org/plots.php?plot=Canada >;
Calculations: 365 x
79 mbl/day = 28.8 bbl/yr; 28.8b/26b = 110.9% of one year.
27. Association for the Study of Peak Oil & Gas, ASPO. See at <http://www.peakoil.net/ >.
28. The Coming Energy Crisis?, James L. Williams and A.F. Alhajji, Energy and Economics Newsletter. WTRG Economics, Energy Information Administration. Figure 3. See at < http://www.wtrg.com/EnergyCrisis/index.html >.
29. Short-Term Energy Outlook, EIA/DOE. May 8, 2003. See at < http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/steo/pub/contents.html >.
30. Bartlett, Albert, 2000;
An Analysis of U.S. and World Oil Production Patterns Using Hubbert-Style
Curves. In, Mathematical Geology, Vol. 32, Number 1, January
2000. Note Figure #3, U.S., and Figure #5, World;
BP Amoco Statistical
Review of World Energy 2000. See at < http://www.bp.com/worldenergy/primary/index.htm
>. Note chart, Crude oil prices since 1861.
31. Cleveland, Dr. Cutler J. and Kaufmann, Dr. Robert; Real oil prices and annual rates of oil production in the lower 48 U.S, in Oil Supply and Oil Politics D้jเ Vu All Over Again, OilAnalytics.org. 2001, See at < http//www.oilanalytics.org/policytop.html >. Note Figure 1.
32. Facing the United States' oil supply problem: Would opening up the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge Coastal Plain really make a difference?, James Mackenzie. World Resources Institute. Feb. 15, 2001. See at < www.wri.org/press/oil_anwr.html >.
33. Alaska energy, Energy Information Agency. See at < http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/states/main_ak.html >.
34. Fall 2002 Revenue Sources Book: Forecast & Historical Data, Alaska Department of Revenue, Tax Division. November 26, 2002. See at < http://www.tax.state.ak.us/SourcesBook/2002FallSources/f02index.htm >.
35. See at < http://www.revenue.state.ak.us/Tax/_private/SourcesBook/98FallSources/histprod.htm
>;
For current daily Alaskan
oil production at < http://www.revenue.state.ak.us/ >.
36. Data shows steep Prudhoe Bay production decline, Thomas H. Standing. Oil & Gas Journal, October 2, 2000. See at < http://www.findarticles.com/cf_dls/m3112/40_98/66241327/p1/article.jhtml?term==Prudhoe+Bay%2Bproduction >.
37. Mexico's Petroleum Exports: Safe Collateral for a $50 Billion Loan?, Richard C. Duncan, 1995. HubbertPeak.com. See <http://www.hubbertpeak.com/duncan/mexoil.htm >.
38. Las Mentiras de Pemex (The Lies of Pemex), HubbertPeak.com. See at < http://www.hubbertpeak.com/mx/proceso.htm >.
39. Industry Projects, Offshore-Technology.Com. See < http://www.offshore-technology.com/projects/index.html > for worldwide oil and natural gas projects.
40. The Coming Oil
Crisis: Mexico, HubbertPeak.com. See at <http://www.hubbertpeak.com/mx/
>;
HubbertPeak.com < http://www.hubbertpeak.com/duncan/mexoil.htm
>.
41. China'02 Daqing Crude Output Down 3% as Reserves Decrease. Yahoo!.biz. January 2, 2003. See at < http://sg.biz.yahoo.com/030102/15/365td.html >.
42. Oil Market Report, International Energy Agency. November 2001. See at < http://www.iea.org/omrep/index.htm >. See supply, 12/11. Note p7.
43. Graph of Chinas growing population and GDP, see at < http://www.pnl.gov/china/popgnp.htm >.
44. China Energy, Michael J. Economides, January 17, 2003. See at < http://www.energy.uh.edu/documents/behind_the_gas_pump/MichaelEconomides.pdf >.
45. China's oil demand
expected to rise, Alexanders Gas & Oil Connection. October 1, 2002. See
at < http://www.gasandoil.com/goc/news/nts24091.htm >;
Asia starts to gasp for energy,
John Berthelsen. Asia Times Online Ltd. August 21, 2003. See at < http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Asian_Economy/EH21Dk01.html
>.
46. China's Jan-July crude imports rise 29.8 pct, Reuters, August 19, 2003. See at < http://biz.yahoo.com/rf/030819/energy_china_oil_1.html >.
47. Oil Market Report, International Energy Agency. November 2001. See at < http://www.iea.org/omrep/index.htm >. See supply, 12/11. Note p7.
48. China'02 Daqing Crude Output Down 3% as Reserves Decrease. Yahoo!.biz. January 2, 2003. See at < http://sg.biz.yahoo.com/030102/15/365td.html >.
49. Koizumi Visits Energy-Rich Russian Region, Seeking Oil; Japan and China dueling to lock down Siberian oil resources; the great game continues.... James Brooke, New York Times, January 13, 2003.
50. UK North Sea oil
production is collapsing, Jeremy Cresswell. Alexander's Gas & Oil
Connections, Europe. April 27, 2001. See at < http://www.gasandoil.com/goc/news/nte12209.htm
>;
The latest estimates by
country can be found at < http://dieoff.com/campbell.htm >.
51. Sea change for Scots oil industry, Andrew Murray-Watson. Scotsman.com, Scotland on Sunday Business, February 9, 2003. See at < http://www.scotlandonsunday.com/business.cfm?id=159292003 >.
52. Dow Jones Newswires. January 10, 2003.
53. Sea change for Scots oil industry, Andrew Murray-Watson. Scotsman.com, Scotland on Sunday Business, February 9, 2003. See at < http://www.scotlandonsunday.com/business.cfm?id=159292003 >.
54. Heuristic Oil Forecasting Method, Forecast #4 World Oil Forecasting Program, Richard C. Duncan. Institute on Energy and Man, Seattle, WA. See at < http://www.halcyon.com/duncanrc/index.html >.
55. Saudi woos foreign energy firms, BBC News, July 23, 2003. See at < http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/pr/fr/-/2/hi/business/3087783.stm >.
56. Middle East Oil Resources: Project Evaluates Region's Ability to Meet Growing World Needs, The Center for Strategic & International Studies. March 17, 2003. See at < http://www.csis.org/press/pr03_18.htm >.
57. Energy Jitters .... Again; Greater Houston Partnership Board Meeting, March 5, 2003. Houston, Texas. Matthew R. Simmons, President, Simmons and Company International. See at < http://www.simmonsco-intl.com/domino/html/research.nsf/0/C3B80200D2446FB186256CE2006E24EC/$File/GHP.pdf >.
58. Dow Jones Newswires, David Bird. March 5, 2003.
59. Chavez Frias says OPEC considering uro 2.56-3.41 raise in price band to 21.32-27.29, David Coleman. VHeadline.com. October 01, 2003. See at < http://www.vheadline.com/readnews.asp?id=11253 >.
60. Oil: the last 100 years, the next 100 years, Mark Meyer; Simmons & Co. September 17, 2001. See at < www.simmonsco-intl.com/research/default.asp?viewnews=true&newstype=1&viewdoc=true&doc=190 >. Note slides 19 and 20.
61. Karl Davies, Davies &
Company, Northampton, MA. Chart data from EIA, 2000;
Also see
oil_reserves_by_sources_bp_2002.gif, British Petroleum, 2002. Original at <
http://www.bp.com/centres/energy2002/oil/reserves.asp# >.
62. Heuristic Oil Forecasting Method, Forecast #4 World Oil Forecasting Program, Richard C. Duncan. Institute on Energy and Man, Seattle, WA. See at < http://www.halcyon.com/duncanrc/index.html >.)
63. The Saudi Contradiction, Review & Outlook, The Wall Street Journal. October 30, 2001. See at < http://www.opinionjournal.com/editorial/feature.html?id=95001394 >.
64. Conflict centered in world's oil patch, Frank Viviano. San Francisco Chronicle, September 26, 2001. pA8. See at < www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/chronicle/archive/2001/09/26/MN70983.DTL&type=printable >.
65. OPEC Price War Won't Sink Russia, Strategic Forecasting, November 11, 2001. See at < http://www.stratfor.com/CIS/commentary/0111152330.htm >.
66. Russia: When a Cut Is Not a Cut, Stratfor.com. Strategic Forecasting LLC. December 1, 2001. See at < http://www.stratfor.com/CIS/commentary/0112052330.htm >.
67. And when cheap oil
runs out
: Enter the age of conservation, San Francisco Chronicle, Jan
Lundberg. May 6, 2001. Page D - 7. See at < www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/chronicle/archive/2001/05/06/ED155380.DTL
>;
Oil Money Leaves
North America, Neftegaz, September 2, 2003. See at < http://www.neftegaz.ru/english/lenta/index.php?npg=a9mnhh
>.
68. Ron Patterson. January 4, 2003. Email post to Energy Resources subscriber list.
69. Deffeyes, Kenneth S.,
2001; Hubbert's Peak: The Impending World Oil
Shortage, Princeton University
Press, October 1, 2001;
Facing the United States' oil supply
problem: Would opening up the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge Coastal Plain
really make a difference?, James Mackenzie,
World Resources Institute. Feb. 15, 2001. See at < www.wri.org/press/oil_anwr.html
>.
70. Three Peak Oil Forecasts, Richard C. Duncan, Institute on Energy and Man, Oil and Gas Journal, May 26, 2003, pps 18-26.
71. World Energy Production, Population Growth, and the Road to the Olduvai Gorge, Richard C. Duncan. Institute on Energy and Man. May 2001. See at < http://www.mnforsustain.org/duncan_r_olduvai_theory.htm > and Olduvai Cliff Revisited: The Olduvai Cliff Event: ca. 2007, Richard C. Duncan. March 5, 2002. See at < http://www.mnforsustain.org/duncan_r_olduvai_cliff_revisited.htm >.
72. And when cheap oil runs out : Enter the age of conservation, San Francisco Chronicle, Jan Lundberg. May 6, 2001. Page D - 7. See at < www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/chronicle/archive/2001/05/06/ED155380.DTL >.
73. America for sale: an update of foreign holdings of U.S. assets, Daniel Bernstein. Bridgewater Associates, August 15, 2000. See at < www.bridgewaterassociates.com/pdf/bwam081500web.pdf >, note the financial charts.
74. Weaker Dollar Could Shake Up U.S. Bond Markets, Jennifer Ablan, Current Yield, Barron's, August 27, 2001.
75. Deflation in Japan, Disinflation Around the World, Kojima Akira, Japan Echo, 2002, Vol. 29 No. 6. See at < http://www.japanecho.co.jp/sum/2002/290606.html >.pMW11.
76. Kojima Akira, 2002.
77. Bush's Deep Reasons
for War on Iraq: Oil, Petrodollars, and the OPEC Euro Question, Peter
Dale Scott. February 15, 2003. See at < http://ist-socrates.berkeley.edu/~pdscott/iraq.html
>;
Followup: Deep
Reasons and Other Reasons for Bush's War on Iraq, Peter Dale Scott.
February 26, 2003. See at < http://ist-socrates.berkeley.edu/~pdscott/iraq2.html
>.
78. Kuwaitis withdraw capital from US, Jack Fairweather, The Telegraph (London). January 1, 2003. See at < http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2003/01/01/wirq301.xml/ >.
79. Iraq: Baghdad Moves To Euro, Charles Recknagel. Radio Free Europe. November 1, 2000. See at <http://www.rferl.org/nca/features/2000/11/01112000160846.asp >.
80. Islamic Gold Dinar Will Minimize Dependency on U.S. Dollar, IslamOnline.Net. January 8, 2003. See at < http://www.islamonline.net/completesearch/english/mDetails.asp?hMagazineID=45756&hTitle=Gold >.
81. Oil, Currency and the War on Iraq, C๓ilํn Nunan, Feasta. March 6, 2003. See at < http://www.feasta.org/documents/papers/oil1.htm >.
82. Iraq: Baghdad Moves To Euro, Charles Recknagel. Radio Free Europe. November 1, 2000. See at <http://www.rferl.org/nca/features/2000/11/01112000160846.asp >.
83. White House sells plan for locals to govern, David Sanger, The New York Times. March 17 2003. See at < http://www.smh.com.au/articles/2003/03/16/1047749669039.html >.
84. Oil Fields as
Military Objectives: A Feasibility Study, U.S., Congress, Committee on
International Relations, prepared for the Special Subcommittee on
Investigations, House International Relations Committee (August 21, 1975), p.
76. Prepared by the Congressional Research Service, 94th Cong., 1st sess.,
August 21, 1975. Washington, DC: US Government Printing Office, 1975, Parts I
and II, pp. 1-39. See at < http://www.mtholyoke.edu/acad/intrel/Petroleum/fields.htm
>;
The Rapid Deployment
Force: The Few, the Futile, the Expendable, David Isenberg Cato Policy
Analysis No. 44. November 8, 1984. See at < http://www.cato.org/pubs/pas/pa044.html
>. See cite #10;
Operation Oily
Immunity, Steve Kretzmann and Jim Valette. AlterNet, July 24, 2003. See
at < http://www.alternet.org >.
85. It's about oil, and profits for US companies, Kenneth Davidson. Opinion, The new Age.com. February 6, 2003. See at: < http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2003/02/05/1044318666539.html >.
86. China readies for future U.S. fight, Willy Wo-Lap Lam, CNN, March 25, 2003. See at < http://www.cnn.com/2003/WORLD/asiapcf/east/03/24/willy.column/index.html >.
87. National Energy Policy: Report of the National Energy Policy Development Group, Summary of Recommendations. May 2001. See at < http://www.wtrg.com/energyreport/national-energy-policy.pdf >. p163.
88. Trans-Balkan
Pipeline Construction Starts One Year After NATO Bombing Ended,
The Reagan Information Exchange. May 30, 2000. See at < http://www.reagan.com/HotTopics.main/HotMike/document-6.8.2000.0.html
>;
The
Trans Balkan AMBO Pipeline, the President of Albania, and Kosovo,
FreeRepublic.com, 1996.
See at < www.freerepublic.com/forum/a3793a582649e.htm >;
The Role of Caspian Sea Oil in the
Balkan Conflict, Diana Johnstone.
FreeRepublic.com, Spring 1999. See
at < www.freerepublic.com/forum/a38f00aea2738.htm
>;
The World Dominance Game - Eurasia -Turkmenistan - Afghanistan - Pakistan
Pipeline, Ringnebula.com. See at < http://www.ringnebula.com/Oil/Pipeline.htm
>.
89. Russia Chooses a Compromise Oil Pipeline, AP, New York Times, 14 March 14, 2003.
90. America at War in
Macedonia, Michel Chossudovsky. Professor of Economics, University of
Ottawa. June 14, 2001. See at < http://emperors-clothes.com/articles/choss/pipe.htm
>;
Map at < http://www.bsrec.bg/taskforce/SYNERGY/oilprojects2.html
>.
91. Reconstructing Afghanistan - on oil and gas, Uwe Parpart. Asia Times Online. Ltd. November 24, 2001. See at < http://atimes.com/c-asia/CK24Ag01.html >.
92. Bush's Faustian Deal With the Taliban, Robert Scheer. Los Angeles Times, May 22, 2001. See at < http://www.robertscheer.com/1_natcolumn/01_columns/052201.htm >.
93. How Afghanistan Went Unlisted as Terrorist Sponsor, Mary Pat Flaherty, David B. Ottaway, and James V. Grimaldi. Washington Post, November 5, 2001. See at < http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A39681-2001Nov4.html >.
94. Connecting the Energy Dots to Afghanistan, Sean Gonsalves. AlterNet.org. September 5, 2002. See at < http://www.alternet.org/story.html?StoryID=14047 >.
95. U.S. Policy Towards Taliban Influenced by Oil - Say Authors, Julio Godoy. Inter Press Service. November 15, 2001. See at < http://www.chss.montclair.edu/english/furr/pol/wtc/uspolicytalibanoil111501.html >.
96. Julio Godoy, November 15, 2001.
97. Running on Empty: When Will the Joyride End?, Randy Udall, and Steve Andrews. Home Power Magazine, Issue #81, February/March 2001. See at < www.homepower.com/bonus.htm >.
98. Klare, Michael T., 2001; Resource Wars - The New Landscape of Global Conflict, Metropolitan Books; 1st Edition (May 2001) ISBN: 0805055754. See at < http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0805055754/antarktos-20 >.
99. Oil price puts skid under growth, Andrew Oswald. The Sunday Times (London) September 2, 2001. Professor Oswald list 6 commonly heard myths about the economy and oil alternatives. Transcribed on September 3, 2001 by PHiLMS International.
100. Dr. C๓ilํn Campbells speech is at < http://www.rz.tu-clausthal.de/realvideo/event/peak-oil.ram >.
101. Cure For The Summertime Blues: Natural Gas Supply Overwhelms Demand - But Not For Long, Barry Borak, August 03, 2001. David L. Babson & Company Inc. See at < http://www.dlbabson.com/dlbindex/0,5624,8-23-59-217,00.html >.
102. Industry worried by low US gas supplies, Kevin Morrison and Carola Hoyos, March 20, 2003. Yahoo.news. See at < http://news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story2&cid=1106&u=/ft/20030320/bs_ft/1045511902418&printer=1 >.
103. Nation's Supply of Natural Gas Drying up Fast: Power plants like those in upstate (South Carolina) will burn increasingly scarce fuel. Brad Foss. Greenville (South Carolina) News, Aug. 12, 2001.
104. Department of Energy data at < http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/recs/tables/enduse_consump.html >.
105. For an excellent chart
of U.S. energy flows in 1998 see, U.S.
Energy Flow 1998 Net Primary Resource Consumption, Preliminary,
H. Miller. May 1999. See at < http://en-env.llnl.gov/flow/pdf/usenflow-97quads.pdf
>;
Imports and Exports Figures, #6,
Natural Gas Annual, 2000; Energy Information Agency. See at < www.eia.doe.gov/oil_gas/natural_gas/data_publications/natural_gas_annual/nga.html
>;
For Minnesota, see Historical
Natural Gas Annual - 1930 Through 1999, State Summaries Tables, #65.
Table 3. Energy Information Agency. See at < www.eia.doe.gov/oil_gas/natural_gas/data_publications/historical_natural_gas_annual/hnga.html
>.
106. Residential Energy Consumption Surveys: 1997 Consumption and Expenditures Tables, Table CE1-10c: Total Energy Consumption in U.S. Households by Midwest Region, 1997 Physical Units. EIA/DOE, June 2000. See at < http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/recs/tables/enduse_consump.html >. Note: 24.1 ๗ 101.5 = 23.7%; 2,141 ๗ 5,143 = 41.6%.
107.
Inventory of Electric Utility Power Plants
in the United States 2000, Summary. EIA, March 2002. See at < http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/electricity/ipp/ipp_sum.html
>;
For total U.S. 2000 to
2005 see Table 1. Existing Capacity and Planned Capacity Additions at U.S.
Electric Utilities by Energy Source, 2000 at < http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/electricity/ipp/html1/t1p01.html
>;
Analyst says power
plant demand will overwhelm gas industry, Oil and Gas Journal,
June 29, 2001. See at < http://ogj.pennnet.com/articles/web_article_display.cfm?ARTICLE_CATEGORY=TOPST&ARTICLE_ID=105950
>.
108. Power Plant Gas Needs Just Beginning To Grow, Matthew R. Simmons, Simmons and Company International. PDF slide show: at < http://www.simmonsco-intl.com/research/default.asp?viewnews=true&newstype=1&viewdoc=true&doc=206 >. Slide 27.
109. See < http://pe.pennwellnet.com/Articles/Article_Display.cfm?Section=Articles&SubSection=Display&ARTICLE_ID=104633&VERSION_NUM=1
>;
Also see <
http://www.nef1.org/ea/eastats.html >.
110. The History and Sources of Propane, Illinois Propane Gas Association. See < http://www.ilpga.org/cons_where.asp >.
111. Electricity Shortage in California: Issues for Petroleum and Natural Gas Supply. #1. Summary. June 12, 2001. EIA/DOE. See at < http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/steo/pub/special/california/june01article/casummary.html >.
112. The Coming Natural Gas Crisis and How It Will Transform the Energy Industry, Energy Business Watch. New York. Seminar announcement: February 6-7, 2003.
113. U.S. Department of Energy. See < http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/usa.html >.
114. The Domestic
Natural Gas Status, Joseph P. Riva, Jr. CRS Reports to Congress, United
States Library of Congress. CRS Report #95-739 SPR, June, 1995. See at <
http://www.mnforsustain.org/riva_j_us_domestic_natural_gas_status.htm >;
See also < http://www.ncseonline.org/NLE/CRSreports/energy/eng-1.cfm
>.
115. U.S. Conventional Wisdom and Natural Gas, Joseph P. Riva, Hubbert Center Newsletter #97/3, July 1997. See at < http://hubbert.mines.edu/news/v97n3/mkh-new4.html >.
116. C๓ilํn Campbell. Email posted to the Energy Resources list, August 29, 2001.
117. Will the Natural Gas Supply Meet the Demand in North America?, Jean Laherrere. November 2001. Note Fig 13: Gas production from oil wells and petroleum production. See at < http://www.mnforsustain.org/energy_us_ng_supply_v_demand_laherrere_2001_part1.htm >.
118. Personal Email to the author from Jean Laherrere, September 21, 2001.
119. Accelerated Depletion: Assessing its impacts on Domestic Oil and Natural Gas prices and production, U.S. Department of Energy, September 2000. See at < http://www.fe.doe.gov/oil_gas/reports/accel_dep/ >.
120. High Costs And Falling Gas Prices Implications For E&P Economics, Mark W. Meyer, David A Pursell, and Ryan E. Zorn, Simmons and Company International, Energy Industry Research. August 8, 2001. See at < http://www.simmonsco-intl.com/research/docview.asp?viewnews=true&newstype=1&viewdoc=true&dv=true&doc=182 >.
121. Simmons, Matthew R., 2001. US Domestic Natural Gas Supply & Demand: The Contribution of Public Lands & the OCS. Congressional Testimony of Matthew Simmons before the Subcommittee on Energy & Mineral Resources of the Committee on Resources, U.S. House of Representatives, at Washington, D.C., March 15, 2001. See at < http//www.simmonscointl.com/research/default.asp?viewnews=true&newstype=1&viewdoc=true&doc=138 >.
122. Depletion: No Longer The Forgotten Factor!, David A. Pursell, Simmons & Company, August 23, 1999. See at < http://www.simmonscoญintl.com/research/docview.asp?viewnews=true&newstype=1&viewdoc=true&dv=true&doc=8 >.
123. See at < http://www.ipaa.org/departments/information_services/spe.htm >.
124. Energy Jitters .... Again; Greater Houston Partnership Board Meeting, March 5, 2003. Houston, Texas. Matthew R. Simmons, President, Simmons and Company International. See at < http://www.simmonsco-intl.com/domino/html/research.nsf/0/C3B80200D2446FB186256CE2006E24EC/$File/GHP.pdf >.
125. Matthew R. Simmons, March 5, 2003.
126. Fourth Quarter Production Survey Shows 6th Consecutive Decline in U.S. Gas Production: New Projects and Higher Activity Levels Cannot Save Us Now. Raymond James Energy "Stat of the Week" January 21, 2003. < http://170.12.99.3/researchpdf/iEne012103b_0738.pdf >.
127. Natural gas shortage to clip fertiliser industry, Mahua Venkatesh. Business Standard.com (New Delhi). January 7, 2003. See at < http://www.business-standard.com/today/story.asp?Menu=2&story=5405 >.
128. Natural gas shortage to clip fertiliser industry, Mahua Venkatesh. Business Standard.com (New Delhi). January 7, 2003. See at < http://www.business-standard.com/today/story.asp?Menu=2&story=5405 >.
129. Outlook For Natural Gas: Does Violent Volatility Risk Its Future?, Matthew R Simmons, November 12, 2001. Southern Gas Association Executive Conference, West Palm Beach, Florida.
130. Effects of Natural-Gas Shortage Rip Through U.S. Economy, Russell Gold, Rebecca Smith, Robert Guy Matthews and Jon Kamp. Wall Street Journal, Dow Jones Newswires. February 28, 2003. See at < http://news.morningstar.com/news/DJ/M02/D28/1046409061712.html >.
131. Saudi Arabia: High
on gas, June 16, 2001. See at < http://www.eiu.com/latest/565056.asp >;
Saudis to convert to
gas, New York Times, May 19, 2001.
132. The Distribution of the World's Natural Gas Reserves and Resources, Joseph P. Riva, Jr. Congressional Research Service, National Council for Science and the Environment. December 14, 1995. See at < http://www.mnforsustain.org/riiva_j_natural_gas_distribution_of_the_world.htm >.
133. The Domestic
Natural Gas Status, Joseph P. Riva, Jr. CRS Reports to Congress, United
States Library of Congress. CRS Report #95-739 SPR, June, 1995. See at <
http://www.mnforsustain.org/riva_j_us_domestic_natural_gas_status.htm >;
See also < http://www.ncseonline.org/NLE/CRSreports/energy/eng-1.cfm
>.
134. Premium Placed on Natural Gas Storage Assets, Ken Silverstein. Energy Industry Analysis. UtiliPoint International. March 11, 2003. See at <www.utilipoint.com >.
135. Analyst sees sharply higher natural gas prices this winter, OGJ Online Staff, Oil & Gas Journal Online. December 6, 2002. See at < http://ogj.pennnet.com/home.cfm >.
136. Simmons & Company International Energy Industry Research. See < http//www.simmonsco-intl.com/research/default.asp?viewnews=true&newstype=1&viewdoc=true&doc=134 >.
137. Deepwater Production Summary by Year, U.S. Department of the Interior. December 2, 2001. See at < http://www.gomr.mms.gov/homepg/offshore/deepwtr.html >.
138. Simmons & Company
International, Stories. See at < http://www.nationalpost.com/home/story.html?f=/stories/20010623/599296.html
>;
See also < http://www.simmonsco-intl.com/research/default.asp?viewnews=true&newstype=1&viewdoc=true&doc=166
>.
139. Nation's Supply of Natural Gas Drying up Fast: Power plants like those in upstate (South Carolina) will burn increasingly scarce fuel, Brad Foss. Greenville (South Carolina) News, Sunday, Aug. 12, 2001.
140. Texas Production
data show rapid gas depletion, Gary S. Swindell. Gary S. Swindell &
Associates, Petroleum Engineers, Dallas, TX. Originally published in the
Oil & Gas Journal, June 21, 1999, page 61. See also at <
http://oil.server4.com/tx-depl.htm >. Data updated in personal Email from the
author December 4, 2001. Revisions seen in Changes in the Performance of
Texas Gas Wells, Society of Petroleum Engineers #SPE 70018, May 2001;
Texas Railroad commission
statistics are at: < http://www.rrc.state.tx.us/divisions/og/information-data/stats/ogismcon.html
>.
141. Cure For The Summertime Blues: Natural Gas Supply Overwhelms Demand - But Not For Long, Barry Borak, David L. Babson & Company Inc. August 03, 2001. See at < http://www.dlbabson.com/dlbindex/0,5624,8-23-59-217,00.html >.
142. The Coming Natural Gas Crisis and How It Will Transform the Energy Industry, Energy Business Watch. New York. Seminar announcement: February 6-7, 2003.
143. The U.S. Energy Crisis, an Urgent Request for Action, Paul Cicio. Industrial Energy Consumers of America. January 21, 2003. See original at < http://hoovnews.hoovers.com/fp.asp?layout=printnews&doc_id=nr200301211680.2_e6300027e55c8094 >.
144. Minnesota Energy Planning Report Draft, Minnesota Department of Commerce, October 2001. p46. See at < www.me3.org >.
145. Texas Production data show rapid gas depletion, Gary S. Swindell. Gary S. Swindell & Associates, Petroleum Engineers, Dallas, TX. Originally published in the Oil & Gas Journal, June 21, 1999, page 61. See also at < http://oil.server4.com/tx-depl.htm >. Data updated in personal Email from the author December 4, 2001. Revisions seen in Changes in the Performance of Texas Gas Wells, Society of Petroleum Engineers #SPE 70018, May 2001.
146. Production Growth What Production Growth?, 4th Quarter 2001Reported Oil And Natural Gas Production Trends, Simmons & Company International Energy Industry Research, March 5, 2001. See at < www.simmonsco-intl.com/research/docview.asp?viewnews=true&newstype=1&viewdoc=true&dv=true&doc=134 >.
147. See natural gas and
oil rig count weekly at < http://www.wtrg.com/rotaryrigs.html >;
Baker Hughes rig counts
at < http://www.bakerhughes.com/investor/rig/ >.
148. Cure For The Summertime Blues: Natural Gas Supply Overwhelms Demand - But Not For Long, Barry Borak, David L. Babson & Company Inc. August 03, 2001. See at < http://www.dlbabson.com/dlbindex/0,5624,8-23-59-217,00.html >.
149. Oil Giants Struggle to Spend Profits Amid Shortage of Exploration Sites, Christopher Cooper and Thaddeus Herrick; The Wall Street Journal online. July 30, 2001. See at < http://public.wsj.com/home.html >.
150. Christopher Cooper and Thaddeus Herrick. July 30, 2001.
151. Simmons & Company International, News. See at < http//www.simmonsco-intl.com/research/default.asp?viewnews=true&newstype=1&viewdoc=true&doc=134 >. Also see < http://www.ngsa.org/press/press_2001/04_25_01PR.htm >.
152. Behind the
Blackout, Interview of Matthew Simmons by Michael C. Ruppert. From The
Wilderness Publications, August 21, 2003. See at < www.fromthewilderness.com
>;
Hearing Before the United
States House of Representatives Subcommittee on Energy and Air Quality October 10, 2001. Prepared
Testimony of David N. Cook, General Counsel, North American Electric
Reliability Council See at < ftp://www.nerc.com/pub/sys/all_updl/docs/testimony/House-Energy-and-Air-Quality-NERC-testimony-101001.pdf
>;
Deregulated energy
not a bright idea, Don Godard and Steve Loveland. Guest Columnists,
Seattle Post-Intelligencer. September 16, 2003. See at < http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/opinion/139712_electric16.html
>.
153. Premium Placed on Natural Gas Storage Assets, Ken Silverstein. Energy Industry Analysis. UtiliPoint International. March 11, 2003. See at < www.utilipoint.com >.
154. Disastrous fuel shortages forecast, Heather Draper, Rocky Mountain News. June 6, 2003. See at < http://www.rockymountainnews.com/drmn/business/article/0,1299,DRMN_4_2015637,00.html >.
155. Oil and the human
factor, Andrew Main. Australian Financial Review. September 8,
2003. See at < http://afr.com/ >. Page 25;
Energy Jitters ....
Again; Greater Houston Partnership Board Meeting, March 5, 2003. Matthew
R. Simmons, President, Simmons and Company International. Houston, Texas. See
at < http://www.simmonsco-intl.com/domino/html/research.nsf/0/C3B80200D2446FB186256CE2006E24EC/$File/GHP.pdf
>.
156. Enerdata Gas Storage Survey - Feb 21, 2003, Fee only: < http://www.enerdata.com/ >.
157. Duke: Storage Constrictions On Texas Eastern Gas Pipeline, Dow Jones Business News. February 27, 2003.
158. Energy Jitters .... Again; Greater Houston Partnership Board Meeting, March 5, 2003. Houston, Texas. Matthew R. Simmons, President, Simmons and Company International. See at < http://www.simmonsco-intl.com/domino/html/research.nsf/0/C3B80200D2446FB186256CE2006E24EC/$File/GHP.pdf >.
159. Fertilizer plant closes, high gas prices blamed, Richard Thompson. GoMemphis.com, June 7, 2003. See at < http://www.gomemphis.com/mca/business/article/0,1426,MCA_440_2017989,00.html >.
160. Balancing Natural
Gas Policy Fueling the Demands of a Growing Economy: Volume I, Summary of
Findings and Recommendations, A Report of the National Petroleum Council.
September 25, 2003. See at < http://www.npc.org/ >. Figure 18: Industrial
And Power Generation Natural Gas Flexibility, July 2003;
Balancing Natural Gas
Policy: Fueling the Demands of a Growing Economy, Committee on Natural
Gas Presentation to the National Petroleum Council. September 25, 2003. See at
< http://www.npc.org/ >.
161. Effects of Natural-Gas Shortage Rip Through U.S. Economy, Russell Gold, Rebecca Smith, Robert Guy Matthews and Jon Kamp. Wall Street Journal, Dow Jones Newswires. February 28, 2003. See at < http://news.morningstar.com/news/DJ/M02/D28/1046409061712.html >.
162. Industry worried by low US gas supplies, Kevin Morrison and Carola Hoyos, March 20, 2003. Yahoo.news. See at < http://news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story2&cid=1106&u=/ft/20030320/bs_ft/1045511902418&printer=1 >.
163. Short-Term Energy Outlook, EIA/DOE. May 8, 2003. See at < http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/steo/pub/contents.html >.
164. Oil and Gas
Inventories, The Dismal Scientist. Updated weekly. See at < http://www.dismal.com/economy/releases/release_2k.asp?r=usa_eia
>;
Alexander's Gas & Oil
Connections at < http://www.gasandoil.com/goc/welcome.html >. Click on News
and threads, then region of interest.
165. Industry worried by low US gas supplies, Kevin Morrison and Carola Hoyos, March 20, 2003. Yahoo.news. See at < http://news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story2&cid=1106&u=/ft/20030320/bs_ft/1045511902418&printer=1 >.
166. High Costs And Falling Gas Prices Implications For E&P Economics, Mark W. Meyer, David A Pursell, and Ryan E. Zorn, Simmons and Company International, Energy Industry Research. August 8, 2001. See at < http://www.simmonsco-intl.com/research/docview.asp?viewnews=true&newstype=1&viewdoc=true&dv=true&doc=182 >.
167. For further information on the Crazy Horse field, see the offshore oil Website < http://www.offshore-technology.com/projects/crazy_horse/ >.
168. Booming U.S. exports likely over: report, Chris Varcoe. Calgary Herald, April 02, 2003. See at < http://www.canada.com/calgary/ >.
169. Oil & Gas Advisory, Associate Editor: Robin Beckwith. RigZone.com. February 28, 2003. See at < http://www.rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=5774 >.
170. This is a new world for natural gas, Claudia Cattaneo, Financial Post (Canada), June 19, 2001. See at < http://www.nationalpost.com/financialpost/cadbusiness/story.html?f=/stories/20010619/thisisa.html >. Note Figure 8.
171. Oil & Gas Advisory, Associate Editor: Robin Beckwith. RigZone.com. February 28, 2003. See at < http://www.rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=5774 >.
172. Forecasting future production from past discovery, John J. Laherrere. Conference proceedings of, OPEC and the global energy balance: towards a sustainable energy balance. September 28-29, 2001. Vienna. See at < http://oilcrisis.com/laherrere/opec2001.pdf >. Note Figure 16.
173. "Gas exports to U.S. under fire: Pressure builds in Canada to avoid price run-ups; Vollman warns of backlash", Gary Park, Petroleum News, Week of May 11, 2003, Vol. 8, No. 19. See at < http://www.petroleumnews.com/pnarch/030511-04.html >.
174. See more on the Sable Project at < www.soep.com/ > and < www.soep.com/exhibits/gas-frame1.html >.
175. Booming U.S.
exports likely over: report, Chris Varcoe. Calgary Herald , April 02,
2003. See at < http://www.canada.com/calgary/ >.
See < http//www.geo.ucalgary.ca/NatGasCan/ceripaper.pdf
>. Note Figure 5.
176. Gas exports to U.S. under fire: Pressure builds in Canada to avoid price run-ups; Vollman warns of backlash, Gary Park, Petroleum News, Week of May 11, 2003, Vol. 8, No. 19. See at < http://www.petroleumnews.com/pnarch/030511-04.html >.
177. The big shrug: U.S. giants took over $35-billion worth of Canadian energy firms in 2001. So who cares? Brian Bergman. Maclean's Magazine (Canada), December 24, 2001.
178. Energy plan threatens Canada's sovereignty, group says, Xinhua News Agency ( Canada ). January 10, 2003. See at <http://hsweb01.screamingmedia.com/PMA/pma_newsarticle1_national.htm?SMDOCID=comtex_2003_01_10_xh_0000-3297-canada-energy-sovereignt&SMContentSet=0 >.
179. For more on the SAGD process see the industry's spokesman, Nickle's Daily Oil Bulletin, Nickle's Energy Group. See at < http://www.dailyoilbulletin.com/sample/ODKEY.asp >.
180. Youngquist, Walter;
1997. GeoDestinies: The inevitable control of Earth resources over nations
and individuals. National Book Company, Portland, Oregon. pps 219223;
Shale Oil--The
Elusive Energy, Walter Youngquist. In, Hubbert Center Newsletter # 98/4.
See at < http://hubbert.mines.edu/news/v98n4/Youngquist.html >.
181. Youngquist, 1997. p282.
182. Annual Reviews: Energy and the Environment, January 16, 2003. Environmental Protection Agency. See at < http://www.oilandgasinternational.com/departments/world_industry_news/jan03_anwr.html >.
183. Alaska Natural Gas: How real an alternative is it?, Joseph Mathew, President, Hybrid Energy Advisors, Inc. EnergyPulse.net. January 7. 2003. See at < http://www.energypulse.net/centers/article/article_print.cfm?a_id=144 >.
184. Natural gas pipeline offers few benefits for Alaska, study finds, Mike Chambers; Associated Press. February 3, 2002. See at < http://www.nando.net/business/story/237905p-2271656c.html >.
185. Duke Energy News Release. November 15, 2001 Duke Energy Gas Transmission Co. See at < http://www.duke-energy.com/decorp/content/newscenter/newsreleases/2001/nov/200111152002.html >.
186. Design of natural gas pipeline questioned, Environmental News. October 1, 2001, Volume 35, Issue 19. p394A395A. See at < http://www.freezingground.org/Gsl/ESTarticle.htm >.
187. Calculations.
The ratio for the 32 3
Bcf/day pipeline is used to determine delivery rates for the 5 and 10
pipelines. Flow = r2 x Velocity x Time. The ratio implies the same
pipeline pressure is used in the 5 and 10 pipelines ―another generous
assumption. The r2 is the reason the volumes are not linear. Since
a ratio is calculated, the use of ฝ r2 is not necessary.
# 32 pipeline at 3 Bcf; 2
2/3; 365 x 3 Bcf = 1.1 Tcf; ๗ 23 Tcf = 4.8% of annual consumption.
35 ๗ 1.1 = 32 years to
exhaustion.
# 5 pipeline: 2 2/3^2
๗ 5^2 = 3 Bcf ๗ x;
x = (7.11 ๗ 25) = (3 ๗ x);
x = 0.2844 = 3/x; x = 0.2844x = 3; x = 10.547 Bcf
365 x 10.547 = 3.849
Tcf/year; 3.849 Tcf ๗ 23 Tcf = 16.7% of annual consumption.
23 Tcf ๗ 3.5 Tcf = 5.98
years to exhaustion.
# 10 pipeline: 2 2/3^2
๗ 10^2 = 3 Bcf ๗ x;
x = (7.11 ๗ 100) = (3 ๗ x);
x = 0.0711x = 3; x = 42.19 Bcf; 365 x 42.19 = 15.4 Tcf/year.
15.4 Tcf ๗ 23 Tcf = 67% of
annual consumption. 35 total Tcf ๗ 15.4 Tcf = 2.3 years to exhaustion.
188. Natural Gas Annual 2000, Energy Information Agency, State Overview Table 2. See at < http://www.eia.doe.gov/pub/oil_gas/natural_gas/data_publications/natural_gas_annual/historical/2000/nga_2000.html >.
189. Phillips seeks help from Congress on gas project, Yereth Rosen; Reuters Ltd., Yahoo! Finance. January 25, 2001. See at < http://biz.yahoo.com/rf/020125/n25199473_1.html >.
190. Calculations:
32″, 2 Bcf/day
x 365 = 730 Bcf/yr
730,000,000 Mcf
$1.25 x 730 =
$912,500,000/year revenue
HP12c: 1.31b annual
payment
1.08b st yr int.
191. Natural gas pipeline offers few benefits for Alaska, study finds, Mike Chambers; Associated Press. February 3, 2002. See at < http://www.nando.net/business/story/237905p-2271656c.html >.
192. Gov. Knowles says Alaska gas line is uneconomic, urges federal push, Oil & Gas Journal Online. August 31, 2001. See at < http://ogj.pennnet.com/articles/web_article_display.cfm?ARTICLE_CATEGORY=TOPST&ARTICLE_ID=114566 >.
193. See legislation at < http://thomas.loc.gov/cgi-bin/query/D?c107:23:./temp/~c107sFxMit:: >.
194. Senate Draft bill (no bill #). SEC. 1. SHORT TITLE. This Act may be cited as the Alaska Natural Gas Pipeline Act of 2001.. See at < www.arcticgaspipeline.com/Reference/Documents&Presentations/ ProducerInformation/Federal%20Legislation%20(Draft).DOC >.
195. Survey - Qatar: Wonder of gas lets you be in control, David Buchan; Financial Times (London), Nov 7, 2001. See at < www.globalarchive.ft.com/globalarchive/article.html?id=011107008416 >.
196. Gas-to-liquids: much smoke, little fire, A.M. Samsam Bakhtiari, National Iranian Oil Company, Tehran, Iran. Hydrocarbon Processing. February 28, 2001. See at < http://www.hydrocarbonprocessing.com/ >. Email at: < am_samsam@yahoo.com >.
197. US seen turning to LNG to close natgas supply gap, Joseph Silha. Reuters : World Environment News, January 4, 2003. See at < http://www.planetark.org/index.cfm >.
198. Simmons & Company International, Research. See at < http//www.simmonsco-intl.com/research/docview.asp?viewnews=true&newstype=1&viewdoc=true&dv=true&doc=161 >.
199. For a government report see < http://www.fe.doe.gov/oil_gas/im_ex/analyses/focus/4th00foc.pdf >.The Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory Website contains a lengthy safety analysis, Qualitative Risk Assessment for LNG Fuel, see at < http://www.inel.gov/energy/fossil/lng/fuel-risk-assess.shtml >.
200. Chevron 2000 Annual Report. See at < www.chevron.com >. Table III: Results of operations for oil and gas producing activities (p61); Table IV: Reserve quantity information (p62); and Eleven-Year operating summary: Worldwide (p66-67).
201. Future world oil supply, Werner Zittel and J๖rg Schindler, L-B-Systemtechnik GmbH. International Summer School on the Politics and Economics of Renewable Energy. University of Salzburg. July 15, 2002. See at < http://www.energiekrise.de/news/forum/International-Summer-School_Salzburg_2002.pdf >. p27
202. Gever, John; Kaufmann,
Robert; Skole, David; and Vorosmarty, Charles, Eds.; Beyond Oil: The Threat
to Food and Fuel in the Coming Decades, 3rd edition, University Press of
Colorado. October 1991. See at < http://dieoff.com/page143.htm >;
Beyond Oil: The
threat to food and fuel in the coming decades, A summary report, Complex
Systems Research Center, University of New Hampshire. For Carrying Capacity,
Inc. Ballinger Publishing Co. Nov. 1986. p36.
203. Geography 100: The Physical Environment under Stress, Petroleum Tutorial. Thomas Detwyler. January 2001. University of Wisconsin, Stevens Point. See at < http://www.uwsp.edu/geo/courses/geog100/petrol-shrinknete.htm? >.
204. Gever, J., Kaufman, R., Skole, D., & Vorosmarty, C. (1991). Beyond Oil: The Threat to Food and Fuel in the Coming Decades (3rd edition). Niwot: University Press of Colorado. (p67).
205. Geography 100: The Physical Environment under Stress, Petroleum Tutorial. Thomas Detwyler. January 2001. University of Wisconsin, Stevens Point. See at < http://www.uwsp.edu/geo/courses/geog100/petrol-shrinknete.htm? >.
206. Analyst says power plant demand will overwhelm gas industry, Oil and Gas Journal, June 29, 2001. See at < http://ogj.pennnet.com/articles/web_article_display.cfm?ARTICLE_CATEGORY=TOPST&ARTICLE_ID=105950 >.
207. For data on coal production see, The Coalprod Database: Historical Production Data for the Major Coal-Producing Regions of the Conterminous United States, Robert C. Milici, U.S.G.S. Open-File Report 97-447. June 15, 2001. See at < http://energy.er.usgs.gov/products/openfile/OFR97-447/text.htm >.
208. Cleaning Up Coal, U.S. Department of Energy. See at < www.fe.doe.gov/education/intro_coal.html >.
209. News item. Reuters, New York, June 5, 2001.
210. Natural-gas prices fuel energy debate, Pete Millard. The Business Journal. March 14, 2003. See at < http://milwaukee.bizjournals.com/milwaukee/stories/2003/03/17/story5.html >.
211. See at < http://www.lanl.gov/projects/cctc/factsheets/tampa/tampaedemo.html >.
212. EPA paper discussing the Fischer-Tropsch process: see at < http://www.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/fuels/altfuels/fischer.pdf >. A web search will find numerous links to these processes.
213. News Item, Platt.com Global Energy. February 27, 2003. See at < http://www.platts.com/archives.shtml#96840 >.
214. See, Gever, John;
Kaufmann, Robert; Skole, David; and Vorosmarty, Charles, Ed.s, Beyond Oil:
The Threat to Food and Fuel in the Coming Decade, 3rd edition, University
Press of Colorado. October 1991;
Titanic Sinks,
Jay Hanson, June 25, 1998. See at < http://dieoff.com/page143.htm >, note the
graph about one-fourth into the paper.
215. Chapter 5 Advanced Power Systems. Office of Fossil Energy, U.S. Department of Energy, 1999. See at < http://www.osti.gov/portfolio/Energy_html/Chap5.htm >.
216. U.S. Coal Supply and Demand: 2001 Review, Fred Freme. U.S. Energy Information Administration. Revised 5/6/2002. See at < http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/coal/page/special/feature.html >.
217. Forgotten Fundamentals of the Energy Crisis, Albert A. Bartlett. Negative Population Growth: Special Report. See at < http//www.npg.org/specialreports/bartlett_section3.htm >.
218. Clean Coal? New Technologies Reduce Emissions, but Sharp Criticisms Persist, Lisa Kosanovic. E Magazine. January 2, 2002. See at < http://www.emagazine.com/january-february_2002/0102curr_coal.html >.
219. Weekly Statistics, Burlington Northern Railway. See at < http://www.bnsf.com/business/coal/html/coalstatistics.html >.
220. Reducing Mercury Pollution from Electric Power Plants, Matt Little. Issues in Science and Technology, Perspectives, Summer 2002. Northeast-Midwest Institute, Washington, D.C. See at < http://www.nemw.org/MercuryNASmLittleSummer2002.pdf >.
221. Matt Little. Summer 2002.
222. Mercury and Power Plants: Can Technology Meet the Challenge?, Matt Little. Northeast Midwest Economic Review, November/December 2001. See at < http://www.nemw.org/ER0111.pdf >. p11
223. Personal Email to the author from Michelle Rosier, Northstar (Minnesota) Sierra Club Air Toxics Organizer, August 20, 2003.
224. Clean Coal? New Technologies Reduce Emissions, but Sharp Criticisms Persist, Lisa Kosanovic. E Magazine. January 2, 2002. See at < http://www.emagazine.com/january-february_2002/0102curr_coal.html >.
225. The Department of Energy Strategic Plan, Draft: August 6, 2003. U.S. Department of Energy. See at < http://strategicplan.doe.gov/ >. See printable version at < http://strategicplan.doe.gov/printversion.htm >. Comments regarding the DOE plan will officially end on September 11, 2003. Email: <StrategicPlan@hq.doe.gov>.
226. The Christian Science Monitor, Gail Russell Chaddock. July 28, 2003. See at < http://www.csmonitor.com/ >.
227. Atom World. See at < http://www.iaea.or.at/worldatom/Press/P_release/2003/npstats2002.pdf >.
228. Japanese Energy Crisis Not Over Yet, The Associated Press, July 18, 2003.The New York Times Company. See at < http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/international/AP-Japan-Energy-Crisis.html?ex=1059545006&ei=1&en=2358bec5fa10e8b0 >.
229. A non-governmental or industry source for information on nuclear energy and uranium is the Amsterdam based WISE Uranium Project, a part of World Information Service on Energy. The purpose of the Website is to cover the health and environmental impacts of nuclear fuel production. See at < http://www.antenna.nl/wise/ncidx.html >.
230. For a map showing the transportation routes on nuclear wastes in Minnesota, see < http://www.citizen.org/cmep/atomicatlas/StatePages/mn.htm >. The source is the "Atomic Atlas Project", a project of Public Citizen (Ralph Nader's organization.)
231. The Nuclear Control Institute. See information at < http://www.nci.org/new/nci-pro.htm >.
232. Net Energy Yield
of Nuclear Power, Gene Tyner, Sr. June 27, 2001. Oklahoma Institute for a
Viable Future. See at < http://home.mmcable.com/oivf/index.html >,
specifically, note Table 2 and Table 3;
Net Energy Yield of Nuclear Power, Gene Tyner, Sr. June 27, 2001.
Oklahoma Institute for a Viable Future. See at < http://home.mmcable.com/oivf/index.html
>, specifically, note Table 2 and Table 3. Updated version, Net Energy
from Nuclear Power, Gene Tyner, Sr. October 2002. Unpublished study.
Personal correspondence to the author. See at < http://www.mnforsustain.org/nukpwr_tyner_g_net_energy_from_nuclear_power.htm
>.
233. CNN, May 8, 2001.
234. Nuking the Atmosphere, Mark Francis Cohen, MotherJones.com. May 24, 2001 . See at < http://www.indymedia.org/front.php3?article_id=42812&group=webcast >.
235. Supply of Uranium:
UIC Nuclear Issues Briefing Paper # 75, Uranium Information Centre Ltd.,
Australia. August 2002. See at < http://www.uic.com.au/nip75.htm >;
Official estimates of
fissionable uranium are at < http://www.antenna.nl/wise/uranium/index.html#DU
>;
Energy for Tomorrows
World, World Energy Council, 1993. See at < http://home.mmcable.com/oivf/bibliography.htm
>.
236. Uranium Industry Annual 2002, Douglas Bonnar, Office of Coal, Nuclear, Electric and Alternate Fuels, National Energy Information Center. See at < http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/plugs/pluia02.html >. June 30, 2003.
237. The coming helium
shortage, National Materials Advisory Board of the National Research
Council. See at < http://pubs.acs.org/subscribe/journals/ci/31/i06/html/06chem.html
>;
For a pebble bed modular
reactor simulation, see at < http://www.pbmr.com/simulator/800.html >.
238. Nuking the Atmosphere, Mark F. Cohen, MotherJones.com. May 24, 2001. See at < http://www.indymedia.org/front.php3?article_id=42812&group=webcast >.
239. See full House text at
< http://thomas.loc.gov/cgi-bin/query/D?c107:1:./temp/~c107z3tDOY:e1347: > and
Senate text at < http://thomas.loc.gov/cgi-bin/query/D?c107:6:./temp/~c107eqB4Gm::
>;
How Congress views energy
is reflected in S.597, the Comprehensive and Balanced Energy Policy Act of
2001. Introduced March 22, 2001. See text at < http://thomas.loc.gov/cgi-bin/query/D?c107:3:./temp/~c107yYHuNc::
> and the full text at < http://frwebgate.access.gpo.gov/cgi-bin/getdoc.cgi?dbname=107_cong_bills&docid=f:s597is.txt.pdf
>.
1. The Tragedy of the Commons, Garrett Hardin. December 13, 1968. See at < http://www.mnforsustain.org/hardin_g_tragedy_of_the_commons.htm >.
2. The U.S. Department of Energy sponsors the Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Network, a Website with more than 600 Website links and browser access to 80,000 documents related to energy efficiency and renewable energy information. See at < http://www.eren.doe.gov/ >. Caution, the items are often narrow in scope rather than reflecting an integrated and comprehensive view of energy matters.
3. Engines of Our Ingenuity No. 984: Failed Conservation?, John H. Lienhard. See at < http://www.uh.edu/admin/engines/epi984.htm >.
4. Why Energy Efficiency is not Enough, Horace Herring. Presentation at the Second Biennial International Workshop, Advances in Energy Studies, Porto Venere, Italy, May 23 - 27, 2000. p5. See at < www.chim.unisi.it/portovenere.html >.
5. Horace Herring. May 23 - 27, 2000.
6. In unison governors call for energy conservation, Environmental News Network. August 17, 2001. See at < http://www.enn.com/news/enn-stories/2001/08/08172001/governors_44664.asp >.
7. Why Energy Efficiency is not Enough. Horace Herring. Presentation at the Second Biennial International Workshop, Advances in Energy Studies, Porto Venere, Italy, May 23 - 27, 2000. See at < www.chim.unisi.it/portovenere.html >.
8. Patrick Burns, Director, Population & Habitat Program, National Audubon Society. January 2003. See at < http://www.audubonpopulation.org/sections/news/consumehabitat.cfm >.
9. Harrison, Lawrence E. &
Huntington, Samuel P., Editors. Culture Matters: How values shape human
progress, Basic Books, New York. 2000;
Harrison, Lawrence E.,
The Pan-American Dream: Do Latin America's cultural values discourage true
partnership with the United States and Canada, Basic Books, 1997.
10. Big User Or Just Efficient, Issues & Insights, Investors Business Daily. June 21, 2001.
11. U.S. Census: 1967: 198.7 million, 1997: 267.7 million; 69 million or 34.7% increase. 1998 Annual Energy Review, Energy Information Agency. Table 2.9.
12. Calculations:
21.5
14.1 = 7.4; 7.4 ๗ 14.1 = 52.4%. If population had not grown: 9,849 ๗ 14.1 =
698.5 gallons; 9,849 ๗ 21.5 = 458.1 gallons; 698.5 458.1 = 240.1 gallons or
34.2%. And, ((mpg x population, 21.5 x 267.7 = 5,755.5 billion gallons) -
(14.1 x 267.7 = 3,774.5) = 2,001 or 2.0 billion, 34.7%); (14.1 x 198.7 =
2,801.6; + 973 gals. 973 ๗ 2,801.6 = 34.7% gallon increase solely due to
population. 198.7 x 9,849 = 1,956,996.3; 267.7 x 9,849 = 2,636,577.3;
difference: 679,581, or 34.7%; 21.5 x 198.7 = 4,272; difference: 1,483.5, =
34.7%).
13. Minnesota Energy Planning Report, Draft; Minnesota Department of Commerce; October 2001. p22; See Figure 1-29: Minnesota Population and Gasoline Consumption Trends; and Figure 1.32: Vehicle Miles Traveled.
14. Recommended reading is the book by Dr. Walter Youngquist, GeoDestinies: The inevitable control of Earth resources over nations and individuals. Regarding alternative energies, specifically note Chapter 13: Alternative energy sources: Non-renewable; Chapter 14, Alternative energy sources: Renewable; and Chapter 27, Myths and realities of mineral resources. Briefly stated, Dr. Youngquist writes, geology, not economics, ultimately controls the availability of Earth resources. p421.
15. Minnesota energy
legislation is compared in Comparison Summary of Four Major Energy
Proposals, Mike Bull, House Research Department. February 28, 2001. See
at < http://www.house.leg.state.mn.us/hrd/bs/82/enrgcomp.htm >;
1. Energy Security and
Reliability Act H.F. 1323; Representatives Jennings and Wolf;
2. Minnesota Retail
Electric Competition Act Minnesota H.F. 710; Chamber of Commerce;
3. Energy Reliability and
Affordability Act H.F. 492; People Organized for Workers, the Environment and
Ratepayers; and
4. Keeping the Lights On
H.F. 659.
16. Renewables In Global Energy Supply: An IEA Fact Sheet, International Energy Agency, November 2002. See at < www.iea.org/leaflet.pdf >.
17. To gain a better understanding of net energy balance of windcommerce and other alternative energies, please perform a Web search for eMergy to locate Websites discussing these relationships. The eMergy energy calculations are based on Howard T. Odum's archetypal energy accounting text, Environmental Accounting: eMergy and environmental decision making;
Odum, Howard T. 1996;
Environmental Accounting: eMergy and environmental decision making, John
Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York, 1996. 370 pages. ISBN 0-471-11442-1. See at <
http://dieoff.com/emergy.pdf >;
Odum, Howard T. 2000; eMergy
Accounting, April 2000. Environmental Engineering Sciences, University of
Florida, Gainesville, Florida;
18. Karl E. Knapp and Theresa L. Jester report a more optimistic outcome in, Initial Empirical Results for the Energy Payback Time of Photovoltaic Modules. John Wiley & Sons, 1996. September 2000. See at < www.siemenssolar.com/Paybackstudy.pdf >. Consider the source and the assumptions built into the model for their plausibility. For example, the authors arrive at cost using full production assumptions.
19. Net Energy: Introduction. Cutler J. Cleveland and Robert K. Kaufmann. Oil Analytics. See at < http://www.oilanalytics.org/neten1.html >.
20. See at < http://webstore.ansi.org/ansidocstore/dept.asp?dept_id=290 >.
21. Net Energy from Wind Power, Gene Tyner, Sr. Oct 20, 2001. Gene Tyner, Sr., Unpublished manuscript. Ph.D., Economics/Interdisciplinary: Economics, Civil Engineering and Environmental Science. See at < http://www.mnforsustain.org/windpower_tyner_g_net_energy.htm >. p8, Table 3a. Line 22 Col H.
22. Gene Tyner, Sr. Oct 20, 2001. See at < http://www.mnforsustain.org/windpower_tyner_g_net_energy.htm >. p2, Table 1 Line 9.
23. Syncrude information
source: < http://www.syncrude.com/ >;
See also <
www.syncrude.org/about_tarsands.html >.
24. Titanic Sinks, Jay Hanson, June 25, 1998. See at < http://dieoff.com/page143.htm >.
25. Fuelling the Climate Crisis: The continental energy plan, Dermot Foley, David Suzuki Foundation (Canada), Climate Change Campaign. May 2001. See at < http://www.davidsuzuki.org/fuel/ >;
For an analysis of the effects of the Kyoto Protocols on Minnesota see The Kyoto Treaty and Minnesota: Little Environmental Benefit at Great Economic Cost, American Petroleum Institute, January 11, 1999. See at < http://www.api.org/globalclimate/Minnesota.pdf >.
26. The Department of Energy Strategic Plan, Draft: August 6, 2003. U.S. Department of Energy. See at < http://strategicplan.doe.gov/ >. See printable version at < http://strategicplan.doe.gov/printversion.htm >. Comments regarding the DOE plan will officially end on September 11, 2003. Email: <StrategicPlan@hq.doe.gov>.
27. Energy Planning Report: 2002 Update, December 2002. (Actual delivery date, January 7, 2003.) Minnesota Department of Commerce, Energy Division.
28. Hydrogen and Fuel Cells: Introduction, Alternative Energy Institute, < http://www.altenergy.org/2/renewables/hydrogen_and_fuel_cells/hydrogen_and_fuel_cells.html >.
29. Global Manipulators
Move Beyond Petroleum, Susan Bryce. In New Dawn Magazine, No.
63, November - December 2000. See at < http://newdawnmagazine.com/Articles/Beyond_Petroleum.html
>;
Ballard Power Systems <
www.ballard.com >;
Schatz Energy Research
Center < www.humboldt.edu/~serc/index.shtml >.
30. For further
information, see, Zinc-Air Fuel Cells at the Voltaic Power website.
See more at < http://www.voltaicpower.com/Secondaries/zn-air-fc.htm >;
Zinc-Air Fuel Cells (ZAFC),
Concurrent Technologies Corporation (CTC). See < http://www.fctec.com/fctec_types_zafc.asp
>;
Laboratory Moves
Toward $100 Million Agreement To Develop Zinc-Air Fuel Cell Technology,
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, News Release September 11, 1997.
NR-97-09-02. See at < http://www.llnl.gov/llnl/06news/NewsReleases/1997/NR-97-09-02.html
>.
31. Vehicle of Change, Lawrence D. Burns, J. Byron McCormick, and Christopher E. Borroni-Bird; Scientific American, October 2002. p64.
32. Hydrogen: Technology and Policy, Daniel Morgan and Fred Sissine. Congressional Research Service Report for Congress. April 28, 1995, #95-540 SPR. See at < http://www.cnie.org/nle/eng-4.html >.
33. The Future of the Hydrogen Economy: Bright or Bleak?, Baldur Eliasson and Ulf Bossel. Yet to be published. See at < http://www.woodgas.com/hydrogen_economy.pdf >.
34. Hydrogen and Fuel Cells: Introduction, Alternative Energy Institute. See at < http://www.altenergy.org/2/renewables/hydrogen_and_fuel_cells/hydrogen_and_fuel_cells.html >.
35. Morning Edition, David Kestenbaum, July 9, 2003. See at < http://discover.npr.org/features/feature.jhtml?wfId=1324227 >.
36. CNN News Report, June 12, 2003. See at < http://www.cnn.com/2003/TECH/science/06/12/hydrogen.ozone.ap/index.htm >.
37. Energetic Limits To Growth, Jay Hanson. Energy Magazine, Spring, 1999. See at < www.dieoff.com/page175.htm >.
38. Hydrogen: Technology and Policy, Daniel Morgan and Fred Sissine; Congressional Research Service Report for Congress, April 28, 1995, #95-540 SPR. See at < http://www.cnie.org/nle/eng-4.html >.
39. Natural Capitalism Cannot Overcome Resource Limits, Ted Trainer, 2001. School of Social Work, Univ. of NSW, Australia. See at < http://www.mnforsustain.org/trainer_fe_simon_lovins_critique.htm > and < http://www.arts.unsw.edu.au/tsw/D50NatCapCannotOvercome.html >.
40. The Future of the Hydrogen Economy: Bright or Bleak?, Baldur Eliasson and Ulf Bossel. Yet to be published. See at < http://www.woodgas.com/hydrogen_economy.pdf >.
41. Hydrogen: Technology and Policy, Daniel Morgan and Fred Sissine; Congressional Research Service Report for Congress, April 28, 1995, #95-540 SPR. See at < http://www.cnie.org/nle/eng-4.html >.
42. The Future of the Hydrogen Economy: Bright or Bleak?, Baldur Eliasson and Ulf Bossel. Yet to be published. See at < http://www.woodgas.com/hydrogen_economy.pdf >.
43. Hydrogen: Technology and Policy, Daniel Morgan and Fred Sissine; Congressional Research Service Report for Congress, April 28, 1995, #95-540 SPR. See at < http://www.cnie.org/nle/eng-4.html >.
44. The Future of the Hydrogen Economy: Bright or Bleak?, Baldur Eliasson and Ulf Bossel. Yet to be published. See at < http://www.woodgas.com/hydrogen_economy.pdf >.
45. Baldur Eliasson and Ulf Bossel. Yet to be published.
46. Fuel Cell Futility, Chip Haynes. October 2001. The New Colonist. See at < http://www.newcolonist.com/fuelcells.html >.
47. Overview of Storage Development DOE Hydrogen Program, George Thomas. Sandia National Laboratories, Livermore, CA in DOE Hydrogen Program Review, San Ramon, CA, May 9-11, 2000. See at < http://www.eren.doe.gov/hydrogen/pdfs/storage.pdf >.
48. Why Hydrogen is No Solution - Scientific Answers to Marketing Hype, Deception and Wishful Thinking, Michael C. Ruppert. From The Wilderness Publications, August 18, 2003. See at < http://www.fromthewilderness.com/free/ww3/081803_hydrogen_answers.html >.
49. House panel cuts tax credit for hybrids, Jeff Plungis. Detroit News. April 4, 2003. See at < http://www.detnews.com/2003/business/0304/04/b03-127834.htm >.
50. Overview of Storage Development DOE Hydrogen Program, George Thomas. Sandia National Laboratories, Livermore, CA in DOE Hydrogen Program Review, San Ramon, CA, May 9-11, 2000. See at < http://www.eren.doe.gov/hydrogen/pdfs/storage.pdf >.
51. The Future of the Hydrogen Economy: Bright or Bleak?, Baldur Eliasson and Ulf Bossel. Yet to be published. See at < http://www.woodgas.com/hydrogen_economy.pdf >.
52. Ballard Power Systems. See at (< www.ballard.com >.
53. Vehicle of Change, Lawrence D. Burns, J. Byron McCormick, and Christopher E. Borroni-Bird. Scientific American, October 2002. p64.
54. Third Quarter Report and News Release, Dynetek Industries Ltd., September 30, 2001). See Dynetek at (http://www.dynetek.com/frameset.html ). Click Fuel Cell Vehicles or Investors.
55. Toyota Plans to Start Selling Fuel Cell Cars in 2003 in Japan, Hydrogen & Fuel Cell Letter, July 2001. Ed. Peter Hoffmann. See at < http://www.hfcletter.com/letter/july01/ >.
56. The Future of the Hydrogen Economy: Bright or Bleak?, Baldur Eliasson and Ulf Bossel. Yet to be published. See at < http://www.woodgas.com/hydrogen_economy.pdf >.
57. Baldur Eliasson and Ulf Bossel. Yet to be published.
58. For an overview of hybrid vehicle technology see < http://www.howstuffworks.com/hybrid-car9.htm >. For criticism and rebuttal see The Electric Vehicle Rant Response, R. T. Saur, Car Talk.com at < http://cartalk.cars.com/Mail/Electric/ >.
59. Minnesota Statutes
regarding windcommerce see at < http://www.revisor.leg.state.mn.us/stix2002/W/WI/wind_energy.html
>;
Minnesota Statutes
regarding alternative energies see at < http://www.revisor.leg.state.mn.us/stix2002/A/AL/alternative_energy_sources.html
>;
Minnesota Statutes
regarding energy see at < http://www.revisor.leg.state.mn.us/stix2002/E/EN/energy.html
>.